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RG18

MINDING HER OWN BUSINESS: HALEP WINS WITH HER HEAD

Saqib Ali

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Mert Ertunga

Who can forget the indelible match that Simona Halep and Angelique Kerber played in the semifinals of the Australian Open this year? It was arguably the best women’s match of 2018, a tennis extravaganza lasting 2 hours and 20 minutes and ending in Halep’s victory by a score of 6-3,  4-6, 9-7 after she saved two match points at 5-6 in the third.

Wednesday, the two engaged in another three-setter, but that was about the only characteristic of this afternoon’s match on a Suzanne Lenglen court that was similar to the one in Malbourne in January. To be honest, that is open to debate too.

If a term existed in tennis to describe a “routine” three-set win, this match would serve as the emblematic example for it.

Why? Here’s the answer: If you take out the early 4-0 lead that Kerber built thanks to a sluggish start by Halep, the world number one was the better player for about 90 percent of the time during the rest of her 6-7 6-3 6-2 win – the other 10 percent consisting more or less of the first-set tiebreaker.

Simona made nine unforced errors in those first four games and chipped in two double faults for good (bad) measure. My usual reminder: I do my own count of unforced errors and do not include double faults in that count.

Kerber did not have to do much during those 18 minutes other than remaining consistent and using her strengths such as counterpunching the ball back to the direction from which it came while on the full run (see the 15-15 point at 4-2 in the first set for a great illustration of that, Angie pounding the ball right back to the spot it came from three times in a row, forcing Simona into an error). Angie hit only four winners during those four games, and frankly, she did not even need them. Simona did the lifting for her.

Then, Halep began to cut down on errors. Normally, that should not automatically translate into a comeback, because the player on the other side of the net should have something to say about it. Yet, it did in this case, because Kerber did not have a great day herself in terms of keeping the error count low. By the time the tiebreaker came around, Halep had 19 unforced errors, but Kerber almost caught up with her at 17.

Then, the 10 percent that I mentioned above happened. Right when you thought Halep should keep on carrying the momentum and win the tiebreaker to complete the first-set comeback, she went on another error-prone sequence in the tiebreaker. She recorded five more unforced errors, three of which came in the last three points. She lost the last five points of the tiebreaker to go down a set. Kerber did not hit a winner in the tiebreaker, she just kept the ball in play, only looking to place her shots deep.

To be fair, every player is allowed to have a bad sequence, even in a tiebreaker. It happens to the best players in the world, such as Halep in this match. For her, the problem with the first set was not the bad sequence in the tiebreaker, because that was immediately following a 32–minute-long period during which Halep played superior tennis to her opponent.

The actual problem was that she did all that just to climb out of a four-game hole she dug for herself in the beginning of the match. You see, when you work so hard for an extended period of time and appear to succeed, and yet your reward turns out to be nothing more than leveling the scoreboard, it is not unusual to suffer a momentary letdown at some point.

It’s too bad for Halep that the letdown occurred in the tiebreaker. Let me reiterate nevertheless: The reason why she lost the set was less the six-minute-long tiebreaker than the first 18 minutes of the set. Simona knew it too, it seemed:

“Yeah, it was a tough start.  I think I missed too much,” she said after the match. “Actually, I want to forget those games (smiling) because was not exactly what I wanted to play at the beginning, but just didn’t feel it.”

You may have noticed a trend in the first set. The player that erred less had the upper hand. It’s a simple cliché in tennis. There are plenty of coaches and tennis pros who will even use dull sentences like “you are only as good as your next error,” or “matches are won on errors, not winners,” etc. They sound like platitudes, but they are hardly ever wrong. This match between Halep and Kerber rode on those clichés.

It did not have a secret story, no details to catch. Just your standard keep-the-ball-in-play-and-win formula.

Hence, as far as Halep was concerned, she could just stick to what she had done after going down 0-4 and expect that positive trend to continue unless Kerber modified her game plan. When asked what she changed after the first four games, Simona chuckled and replied, “The wrong tactic [is] that I missed everything (smiling).  And the right tactic was that I didn’t miss any more (smiling).”

She was also aware of the simplistic nature of the match:

“Well, after I lost the first set, I just had in my mind that if I came back from 0-4, feels like the rhythm is there.  So, I know what I have to play, to continue playing for the next set.  And when I broke her first game, I felt more confident and I felt I have the game in my hands. So, I just have to be calm and keep trying.”

Indeed, the match continued in the same vein. Kerber’s error-prone game never went away. She committed 18 more unforced errors in the second set (to 8 for Halep) and 12 in the final set (to 6 for Halep). She also appeared to get tired in the third set. She began to go for warp-speed winners more than she did in the first two sets and attempted a few ill-advised drop shots.

2018 Roland Garros - 6 Jun

Both Images from Jimmie 48

Simona noticed: “I felt her a little bit tired in the end, but I knew that I have to stay there and still pushing, being aggressive.”

Kerber did not necessarily deny that, when asked how she felt physically as the match wore on:

“No, it was a tough match, especially also physically.  I mean, for me, like I said also few days ago, I’m not the best on moving on clay.  So, yeah, this takes me a lot of energy when I’m moving on clay with the sliding.”

The final score was 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, and it was truly not as close as the score indicated. The match was rather marked by errors, with no turning points in the match being defined by spectacular play. Contested points ending with winners were few and far between. Simona did not even have to play her best tennis to win this match – she did not. She pointed to her head when she won the match point. She did that “because it was really about the mental,” she affirmed.

“And after losing that set, when I came back it was a little bit tough, but I stayed there.  I stayed focused.  I never gave up.  So I think that’s why I won today.  My head won it.”

Perfectly acceptable.

In my analysis of Halep’s win over Mertens in the previous round, I mentioned how important it was for Simona to get to the late rounds even if she does not produce her best tennis. I emphasized that the essential goal for her with regard to first weeks of majors, at this stage in her career, was to advance through rounds any way that she can, rather than being concerned with performing at her best.

Well, here we are in the second week of Roland Garros. Halep played some sublime tennis in beating Elise Mertens in the round of 16, but she was not fiercely challenged. Wednesday, she was challenged. Her resolve – not the quality of her tennis – got her through.

Thursday, she will need to bundle it all together and manufacture the full product in order to get past Garbine Muguruza.

 

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RG18

NADAL’S OWN NOVELTY

Saqib Ali

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Matt Zemek

The biggest upset at the 2018 men’s Roland Garros tournament was not Marco Cecchinato over Novak Djokovic. It was something much bigger: Through the first six rounds of play, the men produced a better, more interesting, more compelling tournament than the women. That hadn’t happened in a few years. The 2017 Australian Open was great on both the men’s and women’s sides. The last time the men were unambiguously better than the women? If you have a clear answer, good for you, but it won’t come from the past three years. The men have occasionally matched the women and usually fallen short.

At Roland Garros in 2018, the men were better. (more…)

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RG18

WOMEN’S TENNIS: THIS KIND OF SOCIALISM WORKS

Saqib Ali

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Matt Zemek

Socialism sounds good in theory but never ends up well in practice, they say.

“They” obviously aren’t watching women’s professional tennis these days.

Remember when Serena Williams continued and extended her control over the WTA Tour at the 2017 Australian Open, following a 2016 run in which she made three major finals and a fourth semifinal? That 2016 season was also a campaign in which Angelique Kerber reached three major finals and won two. Not a lot of sharing happened on the WTA Tour, and when Serena lifted her 23rd major crown in Melbourne, it seemed that women’s tennis would remain a monarchy run by Serena, not a democracy in which various players had an equal say in the year’s most important tournaments.

Then came Serena’s pregnancy, and in a heartbeat, the WTA became a vast expanse of questions and uncertainties.

We have seen on the ATP Tour how the injury-based absences of top players have created voids — not only in terms of consistent results at majors, but also the overall quality of play. This just-concluded French Open was one of the ATP’s better majors in a while, but over the past two years, men’s tennis at the Grand Slam tournaments has been largely dreary and uninspiring. Most finals have been numbingly predictable snoozefests, and without proven players to take charge in halves or quarters of draws, many random results — “someone will win because someone has to, not because someone is transcendent or special” — have proliferated. The 2017 Roland Garros tournament was like this. The 2017 Wimbledon tournament offered glimpses of such an identity. 2017 U.S. Open was the ultimate representation of this dynamic over the past 18 months. The 2018 Australian Open largely fit this description as well.

Missing the top stars the past 18 to 24 months has noticeably hurt the quality of the ATP Tour, so when Serena had to tend to the task of childbirth, everyone naturally wondered how women’s tennis would respond.

The results have been unpredictable, just as they have been with the men (hello, Sam Querrey making a Wimbledon semifinal; Kevin Anderson playing Pablo Carreno Busta in a U.S. Open semifinal; Hyeon Chung and Kyle Edmund making Australian Open semis; Marco Cecchinato making these just-concluded Roland Garros semis). However, women’s tennis has produced the compelling major finals men’s tennis has failed to deliver. Just compare the two Roland Garros finals we witnessed over the weekend.

More than that, women’s tennis is crowning the new champions men’s tennis is failing to produce.

Since the start of 2010, men’s tennis has created only three first-time major champions: Andy Murray at the 2012 U.S. Open, Stan Wawrinka at the 2014 Australian Open, and Marin Cilic at the 2014 U.S. Open.

Ever since Serena stepped away from the sport in early 2017, the WTA — in a span of five major tournaments — has exceeded the men’s total of first-time major winners this decade.

Jelena Ostapenko last year at Roland Garros; Sloane Stephens at the U.S. Open; Caroline Wozniacki in Australia; and Simona Halep this past Saturday in Paris have all crossed the threshold. If the men — #ATPLostBoys — can’t pass the baton to younger generations just yet, the WTA is doing exactly that, and in supremely entertaining fashion. What is even more noteworthy: The players at the center of the WTA’s balanced distribution of signature championships are removing significant what-if burdens from the sport.

2018 Roland Garros - 24 May

Both Images taken from – Jimmie 48

Ostapenko is the outlier in the group, but Stephens has answered questions about who will be the next American player to follow in Serena’s footsteps — not to the same extent, of course, but certainly in terms of being a constant threat to do well at the biggest events in the sport.

In 2018, Wozniacki and Halep have both removed the eight most oppressive words in tennis or golf from their necks: “Best player never to have won a major.” The unpredictability we all expected in women’s tennis once Serena stepped away has been the happiest, most productive unpredictability one could imagine. The combination of entertainment value and redemptive stories has been off the charts.

The flow of life on the WTA Tour has been so cathartic and inspiring that after Wozniacki and Halep removed burdensome labels from their careers, there’s no similarly acute example remaining of a player currently in contention at majors who is trying to banish her demons. Karolina Pliskova, at 26, is the oldest player without a major in the current WTA top 10. As she gets to age 28 or 29, her story might become more poignant, but as someone who has made only two major semifinals and only one major final, Pliskova doesn’t have the accumulation of memorably painful defeats both Wozniacki and Halep absorbed before those two finally broke through. Wozniacki’s and Halep’s respective triumphs this year carried so much impact because the tennis world was aware how often they had climbed the hill, only to be knocked down to the valleys below. Pliskova’s story doesn’t carry the same weight — not yet. The WTA has written the two foremost feel-good stories it possibly could have authored in 2018.

The one still-active player on the WTA Tour who can legitimately claim to be the “Best Player Never To Have Won A Major” is Agnieszka Radwanska, now 29 years old. However, she is outside the top 25 and hasn’t been a top threat at the majors for roughly two years. (She lost to Serena in the 2016 Australian Open semifinals.) Among active players in contention at the year’s biggest tournaments, no first-time major hopefuls carry the promise of hope or the weight of longing to the degree Wozniacki and Halep offered.

In an age when so many sports teams — internationally and in America — are winning their first huge championships in their respective realms of competition, the WTA is in step with the times. That the WTA’s evolution has coexisted with a high quality of play and gripping major finals shows that this version of socialism — wide and relatively even distribution of resources — works in practice, not just in theory.

We will see at Wimbledon if it continues.

 

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RG18

Testigos de la grandeza

Saqib Ali

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Briana Foust

Mientras veía a Rafael Nadal intentar completar el tercer set de la final masculina de Roland Garros a la vez que resistía un calambre en su mano izquierda, de repente, comprendí algo que me impactó: cada pequeño detalle debe darse para que un jugador encuentre el santo grial del tenis, también conocido como ganar un gran título de grand slam. No puede haber ningún accidente.

Ningún conductor ebrio, como el que frenó a Thomas Muster, ni un fanático desequilibrado, como el que interrumpió el curso de la vida de Mónica Seles. No puede haber ninguna lesión, como las muñecas vulnerables de Juan Martín Del Potro o ninguna distracción que pueda causar algún problema personal. Ni siquiera se puede sufrir un lapsus de concentración porque eso le abre la puerta a rivales hambrientos que siempre están trabajando para mejorar. (more…)

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